[NEW VIDEO]: Melbourne Property Market Update July 2025

Australia’s housing market is gearing up for another year of growth, with the country's biggest real estate markets - Melbourne - set to lead the way.

In Melbourne, Domain says house prices are also forecast to reach record highs, while unit prices are projected to partially recover, remaining 3% below their historical peak.

“Lower interest rates, cheaper borrowing, and targeted support for first-home buyers will keep prices rising, especially in Sydney and Melbourne, which are most sensitive to rate changes,” says Dr Nicola Powell, Domain’s Chief of Research and Economics.

Domain predicts house price growth in Melbourne will accelerate over the second half of 2025 and reach a record median of $1.11m by the end of June next year.

 Dr Powell says the expected growth of 6% or $66,000 in Melbourne would mark a full recovery from the city’s previous downturn in values during the years 2022–24.

The Domain Home Price Forecast Report also says that Melbourne’s unit prices are anticipated to rise due to lower interest rates and relative levels of affordability.

Nicola Powell says Melbourne’s median unit price is forecast to reach $584k by the end of 2025.

However, that’s still 3% below the Melbourne market’s 2021 unit price peak.

Prestige middle suburbs with leafy streets, good schools nearby and a strong community feel have boosted demand in Melbourne’s property market, helping these areas outperform many inner-city neighbourhoods in price growth.

Among Melbourne suburbs that have a median house price above $2 million, Balwyn North recorded the highest growth in median house price across a five-year period to the end of March.

It climbed 26.4 per cent to reach a median of $2.25m, according to Domain data.

It was followed closely by neighbouring Surrey Hills, which grew 26.3 per cent to a median of $2.195m. Rounding out the top five were Eaglemont (24.5 per cent), Hampton (24.4 per cent) and Black Rock (23.8 per cent).

Dear Fellow Property Investor,

Victorian government unveils 25 more areas where it wants to add high-rise living.

The Victorian government has named 25 more Melbourne areas where it plans to "shake up" planning rules to increase high-rise housing.

The locations — centred around tram and train stations — have been unveiled in addition to 25 locations announced in October, in the government's latest plan to address housing supply and affordability.

Another 10 activity centres were part of an earlier pilot program, meaning there are 60 locations in total slated for fast-tracked high-rise development.

More than half of the new locations for housing "infill" in the form of increased high-rise development are in Melbourne's inner and outer south-east, along the Cranbourne/Pakenham, Frankston, Glen Waverley, Sandringham and Alamein train lines.

The remainder of new locations are in train and tram zones such as Heidelberg, Coburg, Brunswick, Thornbury and Kew.

The government claims the widespread planning reforms will lead to more than 300,000 new homes.

"It just makes sense to build more homes close to these stations, close to these existing services," Premier Jacinta Allan said on Thursday while visiting Noble Park, which is among the new locations.

Ms Allan said it was not enough to just build more homes, but to achieve that "we need to also shake up the planning system".

Other recent state government housing announcements include increasing building height limits in 10 Melbourne hubs, building more townhouses and decreasing housing targets for some areas.

Ms Allan said housing density would be higher in the central area around public transport hubs, then gently decrease "as you move away from the core". 

Government says it will listen to councils and community;

Planning minister Sonya Kilkenny said all locations identified by the government for housing infill would be treated differently, drawing on councils' existing strategic work as well as community consultation.

"I want to hear from the community because your voices matter," she said.

"We want to hear from you and we're listening."

Community consultation on the first 25 locations is set to commence in April, with the next 25 to follow later this year.

"We hope to be able to have new planning rules in place for all 60 centres by early next year," Ms Kilkenny said.

"This is about developing planning rules for the next 10, 20, 30 years so that community has certainty and industry has certainty about where homes can go."

Greater Dandenong Mayor Jim Memeti backed the premier and planning minister as they announced the planning reforms in his area.

"If it means more housing and it's in the right spot then we support it absolutely," he said.

Opposition claims housing plan will threaten beloved neighbourhoods;

Liberal MP Richard Riordan labelled the government's plans for 60 housing density zones in metropolitan Melbourne as "further destruction of what Melbourne cherishes most".

"This is not a solution for the housing crisis in Victoria," the Opposition spokesperson for housing said.

"Geelong, Ballarat, Bendigo, regional Victoria — not mentioned once as a solution for the housing crisis," he said.

"Quite frankly, the war against developers, the war against home owners continues here in Victoria."

He said Victorian developers and home owners had to deal with high taxes and over-regulation, discouraging development.

"We are simply not doing enough to encourage the market to build the homes that Victorians want," he said.

He said the latest plans would put "fear" into home owners and tenants about their neighbourhood changing.

"It says to them, the city, the neighbourhood, the community that you have loved ... is now under threat and will not be the same into the future."

Dear Fellow Property Investor,

RE: List of suburbs shows where house prices are set to SOAR in Sydney and Melbourne when Commonwealth Bank, Westpac prediction occurs

House prices will surge by close to 20 per cent in inner-city Sydney and Melbourne if the Reserve Bank slashes interest rates four times this year, as the major banks are forecasting.

The Commonwealth Bank and Westpac both predict the RBA will trim rates significantly in 2025 - a forecast that real estate data group CoreLogic expects will spark a boom in property prices in a cluster of suburbs in Australia's biggest cities.

Lower interest rates mean banks can lend more to customers as monthly mortgage repayments become more manageable.

CoreLogic's head of research in Australia Eliza Owen and her colleague Robin Han, a senior quantitative analyst, said generous rate cuts will boost markets in inner-city Sydney and Melbourne more than anywhere else in Australia.

'Relatively expensive markets have historically shown stronger responses to reduced cash rate settings,' they said.'

A reduction in the cash rate could spur a recovery trend in the high end of the Sydney and Melbourne housing market, which tend to be the bellwether for broader market recoveries in those cities.

'Lower interest rates are set to boost the housing market in 2025. Lower rates mean buyers can borrow more, spend more, and ultimately make housing a more attractive investment.

'A cluster of suburbs in Sydney's inner west, stretching from Leichhardt to Balmain on the harbour, could see the biggest increase of 19.1 per cent from the current $2.329million. House prices in this gentrified pocket of the city have fallen by 6.9 per cent since peaking last year.

In Sydney's south, the Sutherland Shire is expected to see a 19 per cent bounce from $1.544million.

The Warringah area on Sydney's Northern Beaches, stretching from Curl Curl past Terrey Hills, is forecast to see prices soar by 18.1 per cent from $2.413million.

The Hurstville area in Sydney's south is tipped to see house prices climb by 17.7 per cent from $1.763million. Meanwhile, Hornsby prices could rise by 17.5 per cent from $1.675million as house prices in the eastern suburbs, including Bondi, may increase by 17.2 per cent from $2.975million.

Melbourne is tipped to also see big house price increases in suburbs close to the city if interest rates are cut multiple times.

The Whitehorse area in the city's east, covering Box Hill and Burwood East, is expected to see an 18.4 per cent increase from $1.431million.

Essendon, in Melbourne's inner north, is tipped to see an 18 per cent increase from $1.449million, in an area where median house prices are now 14.8 per cent weaker than the 2022 peak.

The Manningham area, in Melbourne's east covering Doncaster, could see prices go up by 17.4 per cent from $1.439million.

But Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide, which have had double-digit price increases during the past year, are only expected to experience modest price growth in 2025 even if interest rates are cut.

Sunnybank in Brisbane's south is only expected to see a 5.2 per cent increase from $1.1million.

A similar 5.1 per cent increase is forecast for Port Adelaide from $845,446.

But in Perth, the Bayswater-Bassendean area in the city's inner north-east, is only tipped to a a 3.1 per cent increase from $893,976 after house prices in the West Australian capital soared by 16.7 per cent during the past year.

The Commonwealth Bank and Westpac are expecting the Reserve Bank to cut the cash rate to 3.35 per cent by the end of 2025, falling to a level last seen in March 2023.

This easing from the existing level of 4.35 per cent would only partially undo the RBA's 13 increases in 2022 and 2023.

Dear Fellow Property Investor,

ANZ and the Commonwealth Bank are both forecasting a rate cut when the RBA next meets in February. The Reserve Bank says economic management remains a "balancing act".

ANZ has joined the Commonwealth Bank in predicting an interest rate cut in February, which could provide relief to mortgage holders following a sustained rate of 4.35 per cent.

The cash rate has stayed the same since November 2023, with Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) governor Michele Bullock saying that taming inflation is a "balancing act"."

With inflation coming down and employment growing, we think we remain on the narrow path," she said after the central bank's December meeting.

So, what does the RBA consider when setting its cash rate target, and what do the 'big four' banks think lies ahead?

What are the banks predicting?

ANZ and CommBank are both forecasting a rate cut when the RBA next meets in February.

Westpac and NAB disagree and are predicting Australians will have to wait for the third RBA meeting in May before the cash rate target is changed.

The banks also differ when it comes to estimating how many cuts will occur throughout 2025.

ANZ is the most conservative and is anticipating two cuts this year, while CBA and Westpac both speculate four will occur.

NAB is projecting five rate cuts.

Independent financial comparison site Canstar has estimated that a reduction in monthly repayments from one cut could be up to $92 on a $600,000 loan with 25 years remaining on the term.

How much could Australians save?

On Friday, Canstar released data calculating drops in mortgage repayments for each of the bank's predictions.

If five rate cuts are realised, the drop in monthly repayments could be as high as $441 per month for a borrower with a $600,000 loan and 25 years remaining.

If just two rate cuts occur, the same borrower will save $182 each month.NAB is expecting the greatest relief for borrowers with five cuts compared to ANZ’s forecast for only two cuts.

A rate cut is increasingly likely this February, but Canstar data insights director Sally Tindall said to "prepare for any possibility".

"The big question is just how many rate cuts the RBA will end up handing out. If you’ve got a mortgage, be prepared for every possibility," she said.

"A rate cut in February is increasingly likely, however, with over five weeks to go until the next Board meeting and the RBA firmly focused on incoming data, this could change."

There are several measures that influence RBA decision-making, including inflation and unemployment.

Looking to inflation and employment rates

ANZ's new prediction of a February rate cut follows the release of November's consumer price index (CPI) data on Wednesday.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported CPI at 2.3 per cent in the 12 months leading to November, within the RBA's target of 2 to 3 per cent.

ABS head of price statistics Michelle Marquardt said government electricity rebates had a large impact on CPI.

"In some states and territories, households received two rebate payments in October in lieu of not receiving a payment in July. From November, most households have received one payment," she said on Wednesday.

"As a result, electricity prices fell 21.5 per cent in the 12 months to November, compared to a fall of 35.6 per cent to October."

Meanwhile, underlying inflation was at 3.2 per cent in November, down from 3.5 per cent in October.

The RBA's target for this form of inflation is 2 to 3 per cent. Tindall said analysts would also be looking at soon-to-be-released employment data.

"All eyes will be on next week’s ABS Labour Force data and the quarterly CPI results released at the end of the month," she said.

"If core inflation continues along the same trajectory as we saw in the more volatile monthly dataset, then we could well see a rate cut."

Let me ask you something…

Do you have a game plan for 2025?

Or will you watch savvy, educated, market-ready investors snap up all the bargains at the bottom of the Melbourne property cycle (which, in my opinion, already bottomed out in November 2022), again?

Or, will you join them?

So, what are you waiting for?

Reserve your place and join me and 55 like-minded property investors for the first Real Estate Investing Fast Track Weekend for 2025!

Click HERE to reserve your seat now!

Dear Fellow Property Investors,

Melbourne homes are now 41% cheaper than those in Sydney, a $600,000 difference, marking the largest price gap in 20 years.

Sydney has long been Australia’s most expensive city for homebuyers, but the price difference between Sydney and Melbourne has reached unprecedented levels.

PropTrack’s Eleonor Creagh said that as of August, Sydney’s median house price is 70% higher than Melbourne’s, with Melbourne homes now 41% cheaper – a $600,000 difference, marking the largest price gap in 20 years.

Housing supply and land constraints drive Sydney’s premium.

One significant factor behind Sydney’s rising premium is its constrained land supply.

Sydney’s natural features, including its harbor and surrounding national parks, limit the availability of developable land. 

In contrast, Melbourne has seen a higher rate of new home completions per capita.

Over the past decade, Victoria averaged 9.5 new dwellings per 1,000 residents per year, compared to just seven in New South Wales, PropTrack reported.

Higher building costs in Sydney

A recent report by The Centre for International Economics (CIE) also highlighted Sydney’s higher construction costs. Red tape, taxes, and other fees make building new homes in Sydney more expensive, with 50% of these costs tied to such charges, compared to 37% in Melbourne.

“Waterfront properties and international appeal have kept Sydney’s market strong,” Creagh said.

Melbourne’s market struggles post-pandemic

Melbourne has lagged behind other cities since the COVID-19 pandemic, losing population and experiencing less dramatic price increases than other Australian capitals.

Since March 2020, Melbourne has been the weakest performing capital, with house prices still 4.7% below their peak. 

The city has even dropped to fourth place among Australia’s most expensive capitals, with Brisbane and Canberra surpassing it.

Investor confidence declines in Victoria

Several factors are contributing to Melbourne’s continued underperformance.

Higher land taxes for investment properties have made Melbourne less attractive to investors, while stock levels remain high. In July, Melbourne listings were the highest since November 2018, providing buyers with plenty of choices.

The future of the Sydney-Melbourne divide

Looking ahead, Melbourne’s housing market is expected to remain subdued compared to Sydney, Creagh said.

The combination of a high inventory of homes and softer economic conditions may cause Melbourne prices to fall further. However, as Melbourne houses become more affordable, the price gap could eventually narrow.

While Sydney’s geographic limitations and global appeal may ensure it retains a price premium, the historic price swing may make Melbourne more appealing in the future.“

At some point, Melbourne may be seen as undervalued, given its current price levels relative to Sydney,” Creagh said.

Let me ask you something…

Do you have a game plan for 2025?

Or will you watch savvy, educated, market-ready investors snap up all the bargains at the bottom of the Melbourne property cycle (which, in my opinion, already bottomed out in November 2022), again?

Or, will you join them?

So, what are you waiting for?

Reserve your place and join me and 55 like-minded property investors for the first Real Estate Investing Fast Track Weekend for 2025!

Click HERE to reserve your seat now!

Dear Fellow Property Investor,

House prices in 25 Melbourne suburbs have out-earned their owners in the past year, surging at least $100,000 as the family home became 2024’s “most successful” property type.

New Real Estate Institute of Victoria figures show while the wider city’s median house price fell by $20,000 (2.1 per cent) to $913,000 in 2024, a handful of postcodes shrugged off tough conditions.

Multimillion-dollar housing markets including Deepdene, Portsea and Brighton had some of the biggest gains, rising anywhere from $255,000 to a whopping $602,000 in the past 12 months.

But more affordable pockets including Brooklyn, where the typical house today costs $803,250, and Yarra Glen, $935,000, also notched six-figure gains.

The growth would put them comfortably ahead of the $97,864 a year wage of Victoria’s typical worker, according to latest Australian Bureau of Statistics data.

In further good news for some homeowners, there were 92 suburbs where the median house price grew at least 3.6 per cent in the past 12 months to outpace the 3.5 per cent increase in Aussie wages in the same period.

TOP GROWTH AREAS: HOUSES

1. Princes Hill: $1,830,000 — 24.5%
2. North Warrandyte: $1,480,000 — 23.1%
3. Park Orchards: $2,332,500 — 20.2%
4. Deepdene: $3,613,000 — 20.0%
5. Brooklyn: $803,250 — 17.8%
6. Strathmore: $1,730,000 — 15.3%
7. Watsonia: $1,000,500 — 14.9%
8. Portsea: $3,350,000 — 14.5%
9. Diamond Creek: $1,100,000 — 14.0%
10. Launching Place: $736,000 — 13.2%

Source: REIV December Quarter Median Prices, 2024

So let me ask you a question…

Do you have a game plan for 2025? 

Or will you watch savvy, educated, market-ready investors snap up all the bargains at the recovery phase of the Melbourne property cycle (which, in my opinion, is RIGHT NOW!)

Or, will you join them? 

The choice is yours!

So, what are you waiting for?

Reserve your place and join me and 55 like-minded property investors for the first Real Estate Investing Fast Track Weekend for 2025!

Click HERE to reserve your seat now!

Dear Fellow Property Investor,

Melbourne home buyers have been warned it’s a “critical moment” with just days left to secure a home before Christmas.

Property experts are advising to “seize the opportunity now”, with Melbourne offering some of the most competitive deals nationally.

However, experts are warning a potential interest rate in the new year will bump up prices.

With 1369 properties slated for auction it is expected buyers will remain very much in control.

PropTrack senior economist Paul Ryan said Melbourne’s auction clearance rate from last week sat at a steady 58 per cent, “signalling a strong buyer’s market”.

“Buyers are feeling confident, playing sellers off against each other in hopes of securing favourable deals,” Mr Ryan said.

“As we hurtle towards the New Year, with over 1300 auctions set for this weekend, Melbourne buyers face a critical moment to get into the market now.

“Those buyers who capitalise on the current surplus of stock are likely to secure homes before the market activity drops over the Christmas period.”

Buyers advocate Cate Bakos said the amount of homes on the market presents a “golden opportunity” to wrap up the perfect pre-Christmas gift – a new home.

“We’ve had the most stock on the market since October 2012 – so from a supply and demand point of view it’s perfect for buyers,” Ms Bakos said.

“As we get closer to Christmas buyers will get wrapped up in their plans and their attention span won’t be focused on property shopping.

“From a vendors perspective they might want to sell their properties before Christmas for financial reasons.”

So let me ask you a question…

Do you have a game plan for 2024 and for 2025? 

Or will you watch savvy, educated, market-ready investors snap up all the bargains at the recovery phase of the Melbourne property cycle (which, in my opinion, is RIGHT NOW!)

Or, will you join them? 

The choice is yours!

So, what are you waiting for?

Reserve your place and join me and 55 like-minded property investors for the final Real Estate Investing Fast Track Weekend for 2024!

Click HERE to reserve your seat now!

Dear Fellow Property Investor,

Australian home prices have surged to new heights in October, marking the 22nd consecutive month of growth despite ongoing affordability challenges.

National home prices increased by 0.26 per cent in October, with the combined capital cities now up 5.85 per cent over the past year.

Melbourne emerged as the strongest performer among capital cities, with prices jumping 0.49 per cent after six months of decline.

REA Group Senior Economist, Eleanor Creagh said price falls have started to reverse in Melbourne, with buyers out in force for the peak of spring selling season.

Here are some of Melbourne’s best performing suburbs in the September quarter of 2024;

Interested in getting educated on Australian property investing?

Reserve your place and join me and 55 like-minded property investors for the final Real Estate Investing Fast Track Weekend for 2024!

Click HERE to reserve your seat now!

Richard Swanson faced a tough choice: sell the South Yarra investment property he had owned for six years for a loss, or hold on and hope it recovered in value.

He chose to hold. That was five years ago and since then prices have only fallen further. After about 11 years, he has just sold the apartment for $156,000 less than he paid.

This is the puzzle at the heart of Melbourne’s housing affordability crisis: property prices have soared over the long term, but not for all properties. There aren’t enough homes, but there are too many of the wrong type of home. Young families have increasingly been locked out of home ownership, but there are few willing buyers for well-located, entry-priced apartments.

The Victorian government this week unveiled fresh plans to increase housing density in areas close to transport and amenities, along with a range of proposals to unlock land in the outer suburbs, speed up subdivisions and offer relief on stamp duty to address affordability.

Of the 25 new activity centres, eight are in the City of Stonnington, one of the most desirable areas to live in Melbourne.

And yet, that puzzle: of the homes that sold in Stonnington in the June quarter, 25.8 per cent traded at a loss, figures from research firm CoreLogic show. Stonnington runs second to the Melbourne City Council area, where 39 per cent lost money.

Split by property type, 32.4 per cent of Stonnington apartments that sold in the June quarter lost money. Only 2.1 per cent of houses met the same fate.

Since nearly one in three apartment sellers in Stonnington are losing money, stories like Swanson’s are not unusual, even if many owners are reluctant to speak publicly.

The Beechworth-based public servant, 63, and his wife bought their two-bedroom apartment off the plan about 11 years ago for $691,000. They will settle to the new buyer on Monday for $535,000.

Taking into account holding costs, he estimates conservatively they have lost $200,000.

The property is near South Yarra train station, where a cluster of high-density apartment blocks have been built. It was rented out but the tenant relocated after the COVID-19 pandemic hit. Then the apartment was competing for tenants with its similar neighbours.

Once interest rates jumped, the rent no longer covered the mortgage repayments. Then the Victorian government increased land tax on second home owners.

“It’s a lovely apartment in a lovely complex where we are in South Yarra but what we weren’t aware of is at the same time, there was a lot of other developers who were also building lots of apartments,” Swanson said.

“I think the apartment market is overcrowded. I know there’s a lot of people needing rental accommodation … it’s a catch-22 in a way.”

He sold through Woodards South Yarra, which handles sales of a mix of properties, from apartment towers and art deco unit blocks to multimillion-dollar houses. Director Luke Piccolo says large two-bedroom boutique apartments can cost close to $2 million.

There are much more affordable options in the Forest Hill precinct near the train station, where some towers have had cladding issues, water issues, or lesser-quality builds.

Buyers could associate some of these homes with uncertainty and risk if they had heard they might have to pay for cladding repair or they might face a drop in value, Piccolo said.

“Some first home buyers have bought a one-bedroom apartment for $450,000 to $500,000 and it’s now worth in the high $300,000s or $350,000,” he said.

“Losing $100,000 on your first purchase sets people back a long way, a very long way.”

Interested in getting educated on Australian property investing?

Reserve your place and join me and 55 like-minded property investors for the final Real Estate Investing Fast Track Weekend for 2024!

Click HERE to reserve your seat now!

Are you thinking of buying Melbourne Investment Properties in 2024 whilst they are still cheap?

Remember that not all Melbourne property is created equal; you need to know where to buy, what to buy, and which suburb represents the best value for money!

Dear Fellow Property Investor,

Australia’s housing market has had a mixed start to spring, but PropTrack data has revealed a number of suburbs around the country that have seen massive growth over the past 12 months.

The data looked at Melbourne suburbs with at least 100 sales for the year, revealing that some areas had experienced boom-like growth cycles.

Melbourne’s housing market shows resilience with significant growth in suburbs like Ivanhoe, Diamond Creek, and Coburg North. Ivanhoe leads the housing growth, while Blackburn, Box Hill, and Surrey Hills witness strong unit growth driven by overseas interest and skilled migrants.

Melbourne’s market has faced unique challenges, including unfavourable investment taxation and changes to tenancy laws making investment properties less attractive.

Leading house price growth over the last 12 months was Ivanhoe (17.3 per cent), Diamond Creek (13.2 per cent) and Coburg North (12.8 per cent).

Blackburn (22.1 per cent), Box Hill (11.1 per cent) and Surrey Hills (11 per cent), led unit growth.

“With higher interest rates, we’ve seen sales at higher price points and a higher turnover in the top quartile.

“With units, Blackburn, Box Hill, and Surrey Hills have all seen significant overseas interest, especially since the Covid lockdowns – skilled migrants have been arriving in these areas and the hospital precinct.“

So let me ask you a question…

Do you have a game plan for 2024?

Or will you watch savvy, educated, market-ready investors snap up all the bargains at the recovery phase of the Melbourne property cycle (which, in my opinion, is RIGHT NOW!)

Or, will you join them?    

The choice is yours!

So, what are you waiting for?

Reserve your place and join me and 55 like-minded property investors for the first Real Estate Investing Fast Track Weekend for 2024!

Click HERE to reserve your seat now!